Flare Ups Likely on Both Coasts

5 states are at critical COVID risk, meaning that they have very high case counts and cases are projected to grow substantially.

Coastal states will likely see the largest near-term increases in the rate of case growth. Cases will likely increase rapidly in Washington, California, New York, Maryland and D.C.

Seattle, Bay Area and New York City — three areas which had been keeping case counts relatively low — are expected to worsen in the near-term. The counties of particular concern are: in New York, Bronx, New York and Queens counties; in Washington, Pierce, Snohomish, and King counties; In California, San Francisco, San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa counties.

The Plains states are also projected to get worse in the near-term, with North Dakota and Kansas expected to see rapid further increases. North Dakota may surpass 200 new daily cases per 100k population by next week, a record level for the state.